#17,#11 Dayne Beams
Moderator: bbmods
- think positive
- Posts: 40243
- Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 8:33 pm
- Location: somewhere
- Has liked: 342 times
- Been liked: 105 times
thats what you get from that post?????burnsy17 wrote:Where you getting those numbers from??Pies4shaw wrote:In what plausible sense of the word could a disease likely to kill between 50,000 and 150,000 Australians be said to be a “blessing”?
I’d be staggered if it kills 500.
kinda like the road toll add: how many is too many? 100? and they bring out his family members.
i dont give a **** if he plays again, i dont think he will. but i dont care
there will be a few more who wont play again, the ones on the brink, maybe not form our team, but there will be retirements because of this, too hard to keep their fitness up, not physically possible, especially for the older players. and then there will be the not game fit injuries. i think we forget this season, and hope for next. this is not going away anytime soon. wakey wakey. just stay alive.
and stay home
You cant fix stupid, turns out you cant quarantine it either!
The former (50,000) assumes that 20% of the population is infected and the latter (150,000) assumes 60% of the population is infected. Each assumes an infection mortality rate of 0.6%. This is neither secret information, nor speculative. Obviously, I’d prefer that your 500 were correct - but the country would not be in lockdown over a disease that was expected to kill 500 Australians. A bad flu seasons kills 25 times that number, here.burnsy17 wrote:I’m talking about this Virus specifically. Not the seasonal Flu.
- Abdul The Bull
- Posts: 457
- Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2017 4:03 pm
And yet, we do not go into lock down for a bad flu season? This smacks of a greater 'hidden' agenda. Laws are already being changed to suit the situation. It's amazing how many liberties people will forgo in a crisis event. There's one every ten years or so now just to get the changes through.
There are 10 types of people in this world, those that understand binary and those that don't.
- think positive
- Posts: 40243
- Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 8:33 pm
- Location: somewhere
- Has liked: 342 times
- Been liked: 105 times
- Rd10.1998_11.1#36
- Posts: 2542
- Joined: Wed Jul 18, 2018 7:04 pm
- Location: Sevilla, Spain
- Has liked: 14 times
- Been liked: 5 times
It's still speculative to the extent that it's a theoretical projection based on assumptions. The 'worst case' scenario is also based on no intervention i.e. no lockdown, no social distancing, no travel restrictions. Since these are already in place, those forecasts are no longer validPies4shaw wrote:The former (50,000) assumes that 20% of the population is infected and the latter (150,000) assumes 60% of the population is infected. Each assumes an infection mortality rate of 0.6%. This is neither secret information, nor speculativeburnsy17 wrote:I’m talking about this Virus specifically. Not the seasonal Flu.
- Pebbles Rocks
- Posts: 1241
- Joined: Sun Sep 28, 2008 7:54 pm
- Location: Collingwood
Which makes comparisons to the seasonal flu invalid to....Rd10.1998_11.1#36 wrote:
It's still speculative to the extent that it's a theoretical projection based on assumptions. The 'worst case' scenario is also based on no intervention i.e. no lockdown, no social distancing, no travel restrictions. Since these are already in place, those forecasts are no longer valid
"You must be a parking ticket, cuz you got fine written all over you" Glen Quagmire
- Rd10.1998_11.1#36
- Posts: 2542
- Joined: Wed Jul 18, 2018 7:04 pm
- Location: Sevilla, Spain
- Has liked: 14 times
- Been liked: 5 times
- What'sinaname
- Posts: 20136
- Joined: Sat May 29, 2010 10:00 pm
- Location: Living rent free
- Has liked: 8 times
- Been liked: 35 times