2018-2019 EPL Discussion Thread

[K]

Getting tight at the top.

[Jezza]

This Weekend's EPL Matches:

Saturday February 9 2019:
Fulham v Manchester United - 12:30
Crystal Palace v West Ham United - 15:00
Huddersfield Town v Arsenal - 15:00
Liverpool v AFC Bournemouth - 15:00
Southampton v Cardiff City - 15:00
Watford v Everton - 15:00
Brighton & Hove Albion v Burnley - 17:30

Sunday February 10 2019:
Tottenham Hotspur v Leicester City - 13:30
Manchester City v Chelsea - 16:00

Monday February 11 2019:
Wolverhampton Wanderers v Newcastle United - 20:00

All local times.

[K]

"Manchester City's on-fire striker Sergio Aguero has struck his second hat-trick in a week as the champions ruthlessly destroyed woeful Chelsea in a 6-0 win at The Etihad to return to the top of the English Premier League.
...

The defeat was Chelsea's worst since their 7-0 loss to Nottingham Forest in 1991."

(Reuters.)

P.S. Jezza, I'm not sure how important your formatting is to you; however, I noticed your usual schedule posts have game times and results posts don't, but the latest results on the previous page have some times left in...

[Jezza]

^ That was a mistake on my behalf, K. I've edited now.

[Jezza]

Latest Results:

Saturday February 9 2019:
Fulham 0-3 Manchester United
Crystal Palace 1-1 West Ham United
Huddersfield Town 1-2 Arsenal
Liverpool 3-0 AFC Bournemouth
Southampton 1-2 Cardiff City
Watford 1-0 Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion 1-3 Burnley

Sunday February 10 2019:
Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Leicester City
Manchester City 6-0 Chelsea

Monday February 11 2019:
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-1 Newcastle United

The Ladder:
1. Man City 65 - Played 27
2. Liverpool 65 - Played 26
3. Tottenham 60 - Played 26
4. Man Utd 51 - Played 26
----------------------
5. Arsenal 50 - Played 26
6. Chelsea 50 - Played 26
7. Wolves 39 - Played 26
8. Watford 37 - Played 26
9. Everton 33 - Played 27
10. West Ham 33 - Played 26
11. Bournemouth 33 - Played 26
12. Leicester City 32 - Played 26
13. Crystal Palace 27 - Played 26
14. Brighton 27 - Played 26
15. Burnley 27 - Played 26
16. Newcastle 25 - Played 26
17. Cardiff 25 - Played 26
-----------------------
18. Southampton 24 - Played 26
19. Fulham 17 - Played 26
20. Huddersfield 11 - Played 26

[K]

I tried to find the latest odds. Not so easy. The UK sites don't allow access even just to look, it appears, but here are some offerings.

Ladbrokes, TAB & sportsbet (locally), and skybet (UK) give:

Man City 1.70 1.70 1.67 1.73
Liverpool 2.25 2.25 2.20 2.25
Tottenham 21.00 21.00 21.00 26.00
Man Utd 151.00 101.00 176.00 201.00
Chelsea 751.00 501.00 301.00 1001.00
Arsenal 751.00 1001.00 501.00 1501.00


* I assumed local odds are a worse guide, because the market is smaller and more ignorant (or is it really smaller and less ignorant -- with no casual bets?!). But, at least in this case, the difference is mainly how generous they want to be in the tail.

[HAL]

If not that, what?

[K]

An online bookmaker's calculator* tells us that the odds above translate to roughly these title chances:

Man City ~54%
Liverpool ~41%
Tottenham ~4%

So Man City is favourite but still barely above a coin-flip chance, and Liverpool is not too far below that.

I've just noticed Tottenham have zero draws in 26 games! Are they a better chance of going through the entire season drawless than of winning the title (~4% according to the punters)??


* https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-res ... calculator

[K]

I see this site gives an overview of the different bookies' odds:

https://www.oddschecker.com/football/en ... gue/winner

[K]

Man U. Liverpool 0-0.

Will the teams at the top think this a good or a bad result for them?

And Tottenham still have no draws -- now in 27 games. I wonder how common a drawless entire season is.

[K]

The UK bookies' odds are now (largely in agreement):

Man City 1.53
Liverpool 2.63
Tottenham 66.00
Man U. 250.00

which the online bookmaker's calculator translates to roughly these title chances:

Man City ~ 62%
Liverpool ~ 36%
Tottenham ~ 1%

So I guess Man City should think the latest results are good for them.

[Jezza]

Latest Results:

Friday February 22 2019:
Cardiff City 1-5 Watford
West Ham United 3-1 Fulham

Saturday February 23 2019:
Burnley 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur
AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Newcastle United 2-0 Huddersfield Town
Leicester City 1-4 Crystal Palace

Sunday February 24 2019:
Arsenal 2-0 Southampton
Manchester United 0-0 Liverpool

The Ladder:
1. Liverpool 66 - Played 27
2. Man City 65 - Played 27
3. Tottenham 60 - Played 27
4. Arsenal 53 - Played 27
----------------------
5. Man Utd 52 - Played 27
6. Chelsea 50 - Played 26
7. Watford 40 - Played 27
8. Wolves 40 - Played 27
9. West Ham 36 - Played 27
10. Bournemouth 34 - Played 27
11. Everton 33 - Played 27
12. Leicester City 32 - Played 27
13. Crystal Palace 30 - Played 27
14. Burnley 30 - Played 27
15. Newcastle 28 - Played 27
16. Brighton 27 - Played 26
17. Cardiff 25 - Played 27
-----------------------
18. Southampton 24 - Played 27
19. Fulham 17 - Played 27
20. Huddersfield 11 - Played 27

[HAL]

Liverpool is the home of the Beatles.

[Jezza]

Mid-Week Matches:

Tuesday February 26 2019:
Cardiff City v Everton - 19:45
Huddersfield Town v Wolverhampton Wanderers - 19:45
Leicester City v Brighton & Hove Albion - 19:45
Newcastle United v Burnley - 20:00

Wednesday February 27 2019:
Arsenal v AFC Bournemouth - 19:45
Southampton v Fulham - 19:45
Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur - 20:00
Crystal Palace v Manchester United - 20:00
Liverpool v Watford - 20:00
Manchester City v West Ham United - 20:00

All local times

[Jezza]

Mid-Week Results:

Tuesday February 26 2019:
Cardiff City 0-3 Everton
Huddersfield Town 1-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Leicester City 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion
Newcastle United 2-0 Burnley

Wednesday February 27 2019:
Arsenal 5-1 AFC Bournemouth
Southampton 2-0 Fulham
Chelsea 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal Palace 1-3 Manchester United
Liverpool 5-0 Watford
Manchester City 1-0 West Ham United

The Ladder:
1. Liverpool 69 - Played 28
2. Man City 68 - Played 28
3. Tottenham 60 - Played 28
4. Arsenal 56 - Played 28
----------------------
5. Man Utd 55 - Played 28
6. Chelsea 53 - Played 27
7. Wolves 40 - Played 28
8. Watford 40 - Played 28
9. Everton 36 - Played 28
10. West Ham 36 - Played 28
11. Leicester City 35 - Played 28
12. Bournemouth 34 - Played 28
13. Newcastle 31 - Played 28
14. Crystal Palace 30 - Played 28
15. Burnley 30 - Played 28
16. Brighton 27 - Played 27
17. Southampton 27 - Played 28
-----------------------
18. Cardiff 25 - Played 28
19. Fulham 17 - Played 28
20. Huddersfield 14 - Played 28